Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.005581 0.006162 0.006791 0.007526 0.008365 0.009295 0.010410
2025-10-05 0.004624 0.005418 0.006346 0.007523 0.008990 0.010776 0.013146
2025-10-12 0.004143 0.005050 0.006167 0.007665 0.009652 0.012246 0.015967
2025-10-19 0.003714 0.004663 0.005878 0.007580 0.009953 0.013229 0.018244
2025-10-26 0.003391 0.004364 0.005651 0.007521 0.010245 0.014194 0.020610
2025-11-02 0.003108 0.004083 0.005409 0.007398 0.010405 0.014961 0.022769
2025-11-09 0.002919 0.003911 0.005294 0.007432 0.010785 0.016089 0.025684
2025-11-16 0.002725 0.003711 0.005117 0.007349 0.010963 0.016905 0.028193
2025-11-23 0.002530 0.003495 0.004897 0.007172 0.010961 0.017407 0.030205
2025-11-30 0.002423 0.003397 0.004843 0.007248 0.011379 0.018678 0.033922
2025-12-07 0.002367 0.003371 0.004894 0.007495 0.012112 0.020617 0.039406
2025-12-14 0.002234 0.003219 0.004735 0.007374 0.012174 0.021295 0.042325
2025-12-21 0.002103 0.003065 0.004570 0.007242 0.012227 0.022016 0.045646
2025-12-28 0.002008 0.002963 0.004483 0.007241 0.012532 0.023308 0.050715
2026-01-04 0.001947 0.002911 0.004474 0.007376 0.013113 0.025279 0.058088
2026-01-11 0.001853 0.002799 0.004354 0.007295 0.013250 0.026293 0.063202
2026-01-18 0.001771 0.002702 0.004253 0.007239 0.013430 0.027433 0.069047
2026-01-25 0.001686 0.002594 0.004126 0.007121 0.013463 0.028229 0.074116
2026-02-01 0.001631 0.002534 0.004079 0.007153 0.013826 0.029899 0.082608
2026-02-08 0.001563 0.002448 0.003980 0.007075 0.013931 0.030931 0.089341
2026-02-15 0.001487 0.002344 0.003843 0.006906 0.013809 0.031347 0.094029
2026-02-22 0.001449 0.002306 0.003823 0.006978 0.014261 0.033412 0.105914
2026-03-01 0.001435 0.002309 0.003880 0.007214 0.015137 0.036873 0.125330